"The odds of a Right-wing reformist government being elected are only 50-50. And then it needs to defeat the Blob"
19th November 2025: Telegraph: The Editor of The Sunday Telegraph sends a chilling warning to those who think that a right of centre rebuild of Britain after the next General Election is inevitable.
"...The odds remain stacked against Britain. Our revival requires an unlikely sequence of events: an early dissolution of Parliament, the election of a Right-wing government with a solid majority, a hostile takeover of the British state and the implementation of a radical programme of change. It would not quite take a miracle, but almost...
...Reform and the Tories could tear one another to shreds, and let in a Labour-Green-Independent Corbynites-Lib Dem-SNP-Plaid Cymru coalition of chaos... I estimate there is only a 50-50 chance of a centre-Right government... and, in turn, at best a 50 per cent chance of that government succeeding...
...If the Right wants to win, it needs to work much harder.... It’s not good enough to assume that the Left will be more divided than the Right, or that the Greens will destroy Labour...
Winning would just be the first step. The mission would be extraordinarily ambitious...Populist parties require a counter-elite to implement their agenda, or else they are destroyed on contact with reality... Reform must line up another 30-40 high-quality Cabinet, or senior adviser-level, personalities over the next year... in addition to 400 excellent parliamentary candidates for winnable seats, 350 great nominees to the House of Lords, a couple of hundred high-quality ministerial advisers, and hundreds of other sound appointments to transform the civil service, regulators and agencies...
...The next task will be detailed planning for power, focused on decapitating the Blob. Thousands of pages of legislation... will need to be pre-drafted...There will need to be a strategy to deal with lawfare, and to ensure Parliament’s supremacy is respected... I haven’t even started to address the bread and butter policy issues..."